Journal
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY
Volume 104, Issue 10, Pages E1807-E1816Publisher
AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1
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This passage indicates that an extreme cloudburst on 4 July 2021 caused damage to Edinburgh Castle, and based on the results from a convective permitting model, the observed warming increased the risk by approximately 30% compared to preindustrial levels, which further increases to about 70% in a +2°C world.
An extreme cloudburst on 4 July 2021 damaged Edinburgh Castle. Relative to preindustrial, and based on results from a convective permitting model, observed warming increased the risk by similar to 30%, which further increases to similar to 70% in a +2-K world.
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