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Things Fall Apart: Fixed Income Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis

Journal

ANNUAL REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS
Volume 15, Issue -, Pages 55-68

Publisher

ANNUAL REVIEWS
DOI: 10.1146/annurev-financial-110821-020622

Keywords

COVID-19 crisis; fixed income markets; Federal Reserve; interventions; Treasury securities; corporate bonds; municipal bonds; fragility; dealers; mutual funds; hedge funds; insurance companies

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This article provides a critical evaluation of the fixed income market crisis in March 2020, summarizing the causes of the market breakdowns, the role of the Federal Reserve in resolving the crisis, and the potential lasting effects. It highlights the fragilities and interconnectedness of the current fixed income market structure, suggesting that periodic instability may remain a characteristic of this market.
This article provides a critical appraisal of the March 2020 crisis in fixed income markets. We synthesize the main events, characterize what appears to be an emerging consensus on what caused the market breakdowns, summarize how the Federal Reserve's actions contributed to its resolution, and discuss potential lasting effects of the crisis. This review makes clearer the fragilities and interconnectedness that characterize the current fixed income market structure and their effects on liquidity provision. We argue that the current market structure, combined with the continued growth of Treasury markets, corporate and municipal bond markets, and particularly, mutual funds, raises the specter that periodic instability may remain a feature of fixed income markets.

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