Journal
ANTHROPOCENE
Volume 42, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ancene.2023.100371
Keywords
Flood risk equity; Urban flood hazard; Social vulnerability; Environmental justice
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Urban flooding is becoming more threatening due to land use and climate change, and vulnerable populations are disproportionately exposed to flooding. Most studies on flood vulnerability focus on large floods and neglect the impact of small, frequent floods. This study aims to investigate inequitable flood exposure across different event magnitudes and frequencies by developing a novel score of risk that combines frequency, exposure, and vulnerability factors.
Urban flooding is a growing threat due to land use and climate change. Vulnerable populations tend to have greater exposure to flooding as a result of historical societal and institutional processes. Most flood vulnerability studies focus on a single large flood, neglecting the impact of small, frequent floods. Therefore, there is a need to investigate inequitable flood exposure across a range of event magnitudes and frequencies. To explore this question, we develop a novel score of inequitable flood risk by defining risk as a function of frequency, exposure, and vulnerability. This analysis combines high-resolution, parcel-scale compounded fluvial and pluvial flood data with census data at the census block group scale. We focus on six census tracts within Athens-Clarke County, Georgia that are highly developed with diverse populations. We define vulnerable populations as non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and households under the poverty level and use dasymetric mapping techniques to calculate the over-representation of these populations in flood zones. Inequitable risks at each census tract (approximately neighborhood scale) were estimated for multiple (e.g., 5-, 10-, 20-, 50-, and 100-year) flood return periods. Results show that the relatively greatest flood risk inequities occur for the 10-year flood and not at the largest event. We also found that the size of inequity is dynamic, depending on the flood magnitude. Therefore, addressing a range of events including smaller, more frequent floods can increase equity and reveal opportunities that may be missed if only one event is considered.
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