Harmonization of Meteosat First and Second Generation Datasets for Fog and Low Stratus Studies

Operational weather satellites, dating back to 1970s, currently provide the best basis for climatological investigations, such as an analysis of changes in the cloud cover. Because clouds are highly dynamic in time, temporally high-resolution data from the geostationary orbit are preferred in order to take variations in the diurnal cycles into account. For such studies, a consistent dataset in space and time is mandatory, but not yet available. Ground-based point measurements of various cloud parameters, such as ceiling, visibility, and cloud type are often sparsely spread and inconsistent, making it difficult to derive reliable spatio-temporal information over large areas. The Meteosat program has generally provided suitable data from over Europe since 1977, but different spatial, spectral, and radiometric resolution of the instruments of the individual satellites, including early-years calibration uncertainties, makes harmonization necessary to finally derive a time series applicable to any kind of climatological study. In this study, a machine learning-based approach has been employed to generate a long-term consistent dataset with high spatio-temporal resolution and extensive coverage over Europe by the harmonization of Meteosat First Generation (MFG) and Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite datasets (1991-2020). A random forest (RF) regressor is trained on the overlap period (2004-2006), where datasets of both satellite generation (MFG and MSG) are available to predict MFG Water Vapour (WV) and Infrared (IR) channels brightness temperature (BT) values based on MSG channels. The aim of the study is to synthesize MFG MVIRI data from MSG SEVIRI to generate a consistent MFG time series. The results indicate a good match of MFG synthesized data with the original MFG data with a mean absolute error of 0.7 K for the WV model and 1.6 K for the IR model, and an out-of-bag (OOB) R-2 score of 0.98 for both the models. Based on the trained models, the MFG scenes are synthesized from the MSG scenes for the years from 2006 to 2020. The long-term homogeneity of the generated time series is analyzed. The harmonized dataset will be applied to generate a continuous time series on fog and low stratus (FLS) occurrence for a climatological time scale of 30 years.

Automated summary

In this study, a machine learning-based approach is used to generate a consistent dataset by harmonizing Meteosat First Generation (MFG) and Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite datasets (1991-2020). The synthesized data shows a good match with the original data, with small mean absolute errors. This harmonized dataset can be used to analyze and generate a long-term time series of fog and low stratus (FLS) occurrences.