4.7 Article

Increased probability of hot and dry weather extremes during the growing season threatens global crop yields

Related references

Note: Only part of the references are listed.
Review Environmental Sciences

Compound heat and moisture extreme impacts on global crop yields under climate change

Corey Lesk et al.

Summary: Extreme heat, drought, and moisture excess are impacting crop yields in global breadbasket regions. These compound extremes are expected to increase in the future but their net yield effects remain uncertain. Comprehensive agricultural adaptation strategies are necessary to address these compound stresses.

NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Decadal variability modulates trends in concurrent heat and drought over global croplands

Corey Lesk et al.

Summary: Extreme heat and drought are reducing yields of important food crops globally, with the probability of concurrently hot and dry conditions increasing. Long-term global trends are primarily due to anthropogenic climate change, but regional variation and decadal climate variability also play a significant role in impacting future climate risks to crops.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Crop-specific exposure to extreme temperature and moisture for the globe for the last half century

Nicole D. Jackson et al.

Summary: The study develops the Agriculturally-Relevant Exposure to Shocks (ARES) model to quantify crop-specific exposure to extreme weather by considering crop characteristics. Results show an increase in exposure to extreme weather for different crops over the past half century, with varying impacts of extreme heat, cold, wetness, and dryness on different crops.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Impacts of compound hot-dry extremes on US soybean yields

Raed Hamed et al.

Summary: The study shows that climate factors have a significant impact on US soybean yields, with high summer temperatures and low soil moisture negatively affecting production. Synergistic effects can exacerbate these impacts, leading to severe consequences. Additionally, the research indicates varying levels of sensitivity to climate drivers across different regions.

EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS (2021)

Article Food Science & Technology

Stronger temperature-moisture couplings exacerbate the impact of climate warming on global crop yields

Corey Lesk et al.

Summary: Climate change is projected to modify temperature-moisture couplings and potentially worsen the impacts of warming on key global crops. Rising air temperatures pose a significant risk to global crop production, with the sensitivity of crops to heat depending on the strength of temperature-moisture couplings in the climate system. However, the impact of these changes on crop yields is highly uncertain in some regions, highlighting the need for robust adaptation strategies to address the underappreciated risk to food production from climate change.

NATURE FOOD (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Warming of hot extremes alleviated by expanding irrigation

Wim Thiery et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The ERA5 global reanalysis

Hans Hersbach et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

The global dataset of historical yields for major crops 1981-2016

Toshichika Iizumi et al.

SCIENTIFIC DATA (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Twenty-First Century Drought Projections in the CMIP6 Forcing Scenarios

B. I. Cook et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Multiple cropping systems of the world and the potential for increasing cropping intensity

Katharina Waha et al.

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Net benefits to US soy and maize yields from intensifying hourly rainfall

Corey Lesk et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020)

Article Biology

Impact of extreme weather conditions on European crop production in 2018

Damien Beillouin et al.

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Impact of green water anomalies on global rainfed crop yields

Edoardo Borgomeo et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

A quantitative hydroclimatic context for the European Great Famine of 1315-1317

Seung H. Baek et al.

COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2020)

Article Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence

From local explanations to global understanding with explainable AI for trees

Scott M. Lundberg et al.

NATURE MACHINE INTELLIGENCE (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields

Elisabeth Vogel et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate change has likely already affected global food production

Deepak K. Ray et al.

PLOS ONE (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

Probabilistic evaluation of the impact of compound dry-hot events on global maize yields

Sifang Feng et al.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2019)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Analysis of climate signals in the crop yield record of sub-Saharan Africa

Alexis L. Hoffman et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Global patterns of crop yield stability under additional nutrient and water inputs

Christoph Mueller et al.

PLOS ONE (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations

Matias Heino et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Future climate risk from compound events

Jakob Zscheischler et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Weather impacts on crop yields - searching for simple answers to a complex problem

Stefan Siebert et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2017)

Article Environmental Sciences

Heat stress is overestimated in climate impact studies for irrigated agriculture

Stefan Siebert et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2017)

Article Agronomy

Independent and combined effects of high temperature and drought stress around anthesis on wheat

A. Mahrookashani et al.

JOURNAL OF AGRONOMY AND CROP SCIENCE (2017)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Consistent negative response of US crops to high temperatures in observations and crop models

Bernhard Schauberger et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2017)

Article Environmental Sciences

Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability

Katja Frieler et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2017)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

GLEAM v3: satellite-based land evaporation and root-zone soil moisture

Brecht Martens et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2017)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications

Christoph Mueller et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2017)

Article Environmental Sciences

Changes in yield variability of major crops for 1981-2010 explained by climate change

Toshichika Iizumi et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2016)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Influence of extreme weather disasters on global crop production

Corey Lesk et al.

NATURE (2016)

Article Environmental Sciences

The effects of extremely wet planting conditions on maize and soybean yields

Daniel W. Urban et al.

CLIMATIC CHANGE (2015)

Article Environmental Sciences

Intensity of heat stress in winter wheat-phenology compensates for the adverse effect of global warming

Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2015)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability

Deepak K. Ray et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2015)

Article Environmental Sciences

Dramatically increasing chance of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwave

Nikolaos Christidis et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2015)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0)

J. Elliott et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2015)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Temperatures and the growth and development of maize and rice: a review

Berta Sanchez et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2014)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison

Cynthia Rosenzweig et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2014)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Impacts of El Nino Southern Oscillation on the global yields of major crops

Toshichika Iizumi et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A simplified Extended Kalman Filter for the global operational soil moisture analysis at ECMWF

Patricia de Rosnay et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2013)

Article Ecology

Climate-driven simulation of global crop sowing dates

K. Waha et al.

GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2012)

Article Environmental Sciences

Extreme heat effects on wheat senescence in India

David B. Lobell et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2012)

Review Environmental Sciences

Temperature thresholds and crop production: a review

Qunying Luo

CLIMATIC CHANGE (2011)

Article Environmental Sciences

Nonlinear heat effects on African maize as evidenced by historical yield trials

David B. Lobell et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2011)

Review Environmental Studies

Drought under global warming: a review

Aiguo Dai

WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE (2011)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to US crop yields under climate change

Wolfram Schlenker et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2009)

Article Agricultural Economics & Policy

Nonlinear effects of weather on corn yields

Wolfram Schlenker et al.

REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS (2006)

Article Environmental Sciences

Improvements of the MODIS terrestrial gross and net primary production global data set

MS Zhao et al.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2005)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Evidence of surface cooling from absorbing aerosols

R Krishnan et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2002)

Article Statistics & Probability

Greedy function approximation: A gradient boosting machine

JH Friedman

ANNALS OF STATISTICS (2001)