4.5 Article

Future projections of storm surges and associated coastal inundation along the East Coast of India

Journal

JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
Volume 14, Issue 5, Pages 1413-1432

Publisher

IWA PUBLISHING
DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2023.358

Keywords

ADCIRC; climate change; coastal inundation; historical and synthetic tracks; Monte-Carlo simulations; storm surge

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This study aims to comprehensively analyze storm surges and associated coastal inundation along the East Coast of India, utilizing historical and projected cyclone tracks. The impact of climate change on cyclone path and intensity is considered. The ADCIRC model is used to compute storm surge heights and associated coastal inundation. The study provides valuable insights for storm surge operational centers and disaster management applications.
This study aims to analyze several aspects of storm surges and associated coastal inundation along the East Coast of India. The current study utilizes historical cyclone tracks over the past five decades and, synthetic tracks are projected for the next 100 years to develop a comprehensive analysis of the storm surges in India. The impact of climate change on cyclone path and intensity is also considered. The ADCIRC model is used to compute storm surge heights and associated coastal inundation for historical and future cyclone tracks. An in-depth analysis is carried out using composite maps explaining the storm surge characteristics at various coastal locations. The novelty of this study lies in the comprehensive analysis of potential storm surges and associated coastal flooding related to exaggerated cyclones that are expected in a changing climate scenario. The outcome of the study is beneficial to storm surge operational centers and disaster management applications.

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