Journal
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL
Volume -, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2023.2187297
Keywords
Budyko-based model; water balance dynamics; effective precipitation; climate change; model structural uncertainty; the River Vistula basin
Categories
Ask authors/readers for more resources
The aim of this study is to extend the current knowledge of the Budyko approach in unsteady-state conditions and examine the importance of model structural uncertainties. By using three Budyko-based models (Turc-Pike, Zhang, Fu) with the concept of effective precipitation, we improved the prediction of annual water balance. Additionally, we discussed the significance of considering structural uncertainties in water balance modeling.
The spatiotemporal variations in the water balance caused by environmental changes lead to unsteady-state conditions with long- and short-term implications for social and economic conditions. The aim of this study is to extend the current knowledge of the Budyko approach in unsteady-state conditions and the importance of model structural uncertainties. We used three Budyko-based models (Turc-Pike, Zhang, Fu) with and without the concept of effective precipitation scenarios. The effective precipitation and model parameters were determined together during the calibration processes. The effective precipitation-based approach improved the model performance in predicting the annual water balance in most of the River Vistula catchment. We also discuss the importance of considering structural uncertainties in water balance modelling. Climate change is the main driver for the changes in the water balance of the River Vistula. The estimation of water balance dynamics, considering environmental changes, is essential to understand the changes in hydrological processes.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available