Journal
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 18, Issue 6, Pages -Publisher
IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/acd2ee
Keywords
fire danger; fuel availability; FOPI; flammability
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A new fire danger index, the fire occurrence probability index (FOPI), is proposed to better predict landscape flammability by combining the Canadian fire weather index (FWI) with remote observations of vegetation characteristics. The FOPI aims to improve fire danger predictions in fuel-limited environments and outperforms the FWI in arid biomes while remaining comparable where fuel is abundant.
A new fire danger index is proposed to overcome one of the most important limitations of current fire danger metrics. The fire occurrence probability index (FOPI) combines the Canadian fire weather index (FWI) with remote observations of vegetation characteristics to better predict landscape flammability. The FOPI is designed to improve fire danger predictions in all fuel-limited environments where fire is driven by the short-term drying of intermittently-available fuel. The FOPI considerably outperforms the FWI in arid biomes while remaining comparable to the FWI where fuel is abundant.
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