Improving prediction of chickpea wilt severity using machine learning coupled with model combination techniques under field conditions

Accurate estimation of disease severity in the field is a key to minimize the yield losses in agriculture. Existing disease severity assessment methods have poor accuracy under field conditions. To overcome this limitation, this study used thermal and visible imaging with machine learning (ML) and model combination (MC) techniques to estimate plant disease severity under field conditions. Field experiments were conducted during 2017-18, 2018-19 and 2021-22 to obtain RGB and thermal images of chickpea cultivars with different levels of wilt resistance grown in wilt sick plots. ML models were constructed using four different datasets created using the wilt severity and image derived indices. ML models were also combined using MC techniques to assess the best predictor of the disease severity. Results indicated that the Cubist was the best ML model, while the KNN model was the poorest predictor of chickpea wilt severity under field conditions. MC techniques improved the prediction accuracy of wilt severity over individual ML models. Combining ML models using the least absolute deviation technique gave the best predictions of wilt severity. The results obtained in the present study showed the MC techniques coupled with ML models improved the prediction accuracies of plant disease severity under field conditions.

Automated summary

Accurate estimation of disease severity under field conditions is essential in minimizing yield losses in agriculture. This study utilized thermal and visible imaging combined with machine learning and model combination techniques to improve the estimation accuracy of plant disease severity. The Cubist model was found to be the best ML model, while the KNN model was the poorest predictor. MC techniques enhanced the prediction accuracy by combining ML models.