Related references
Note: Only part of the references are listed.
Article
Statistics & Probability
Beate Jahn et al.
Summary: This paper aims to provide an overview of the decision-making process from a statistical perspective and offers recommendations for each step. The article discusses the application of various modeling techniques in the context of COVID-19 and emphasizes the importance of data in these models and the interpretation of results, as well as the significance of statistical literacy and effective dissemination and communication of findings.
ASTA-ADVANCES IN STATISTICAL ANALYSIS
(2022)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Jason Thompson et al.
Summary: The study developed a public health decision support model for mitigating the spread of SARS-CoV-2 infections in Australia and New Zealand. Results indicated that sustained public adherence to social restrictions could eliminate community transmission, but a second wave of infections may occur if adherence decreases.
AUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH
(2022)
Article
Infectious Diseases
Romesh G. Abeysuriya et al.
Summary: In settings with zero community transmission, the probability of a new incursion causing a COVID-19 outbreak can be affected by the level of restrictions in place. This study found that the probability of an outbreak decreased when mandatory mask policies, density restrictions, and working from home were implemented. It also highlighted the importance of maintaining high testing rates as part of a suppression strategy.
BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES
(2022)
Article
Health Policy & Services
Jason Thompson et al.
Summary: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of public health, infectious disease, and policy modelling. Decision-makers and modellers need to work together to determine which models are most useful and understand the factors that contribute to successful model adoption and utilization.
HEALTH RESEARCH POLICY AND SYSTEMS
(2022)
Article
Medicine, General & Internal
Nick Scott et al.
Summary: The study found that easing COVID-19-related restrictions may lead to an increase in cases, especially policies that involve contact with large numbers of unknown people carry greater risks; while changes such as small gatherings, opening schools are associated with lower risks. In the model, the increase in case numbers following some policy changes was only notable two months after their implementation.
MEDICAL JOURNAL OF AUSTRALIA
(2021)
Article
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
Penelope Fotheringham et al.
Summary: The public health response in Australia to COVID-19 included early and increased case detection through testing, contact tracing, social distancing, and prohibition of gatherings. In addition, the introduction of mandated quarantine for travelers played a key role in successfully containing the spread of COVID-19 locally and interstate.
Review
Health Care Sciences & Services
Lyndon P. James et al.
Summary: Mathematical modeling has played a crucial role in the current COVID-19 pandemic, but its limitations, such as uncertainty and validity of predictions, have been recognized. Various approaches have been proposed to strengthen the validity of inferences drawn from these models, in order to improve decision-making in the current crisis and beyond.
MEDICAL DECISION MAKING
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Nicholas G. Davies et al.
Summary: A new variant of SARS-CoV-2 has emerged in England, with a higher reproduction number and potential for large resurgences of COVID-19 cases. Without stringent control measures, it is projected that COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths in England for the first 6 months of 2021 will exceed those in 2020. The variant has spread globally and exhibited similar transmission increases in Denmark, Switzerland, and the United States.
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Erik Volz et al.
Summary: Genetic and testing data from England indicate that the SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 has a transmission advantage over other lineages, showing a rapid expansion during autumn 2020. Analysis of S gene target failures (SGTF) in community-based diagnostic PCR testing suggests that B.1.1.7 is more transmissible than non-variant of concern lineages and has a significant transmission advantage, with a reproduction number 50% to 100% higher. Additionally, cases of B.1.1.7 appear to include a larger share of under 20-year-olds compared to non-variant cases.
Letter
Medicine, General & Internal
Jason Thompson et al.
MEDICAL JOURNAL OF AUSTRALIA
(2021)
Article
Biochemical Research Methods
Cliff C. Kerr et al.
Summary: Mathematical models, such as Covasim, have been crucial in helping countries make decisions on combating the COVID-19 pandemic. Covasim is an open-source model that allows for tailored evaluation of interventions on the epidemic in different countries, and has been utilized in policy and research endeavors across various nations.
PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
(2021)
