The Added Value of Intraventricular Hemorrhage on the Radiomics Analysis for the Prediction of Hematoma Expansion of Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Background: Among patients undergoing head computed tomography (CT) scans within 3 h of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), 28% to 38% have hematoma expansion (HE) on follow-up CT. This study aimed to predict HE using radiomics analysis and investigate the impact of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) compared with the conventional approach based on intraparenchymal hemorrhage (IPH) alone. Methods: This retrospective study enrolled 127 patients with baseline and follow-up non-contrast CT (NCCT) within 4 similar to 72 h of sICH. IPH and IVH were outlined separately for performing radiomics analysis. HE was defined as an absolute hematoma growth > 6 mL or percentage growth > 33% of either IPH (HEP) or a combination of IPH and IVH (HEP+V) at follow-up. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics, and then the support vector machine (SVM) was used to build the classification model. For each case, a radiomics score was generated to indicate the probability of HE. Results: There were 57 (44.9%) HEP and 70 (55.1%) non-HEP based on IPH alone, and 58 (45.7%) HEP+V and 69 (54.3%) non-HEP+V based on IPH + IVH. The majority (>94%) of HE patients had poor early outcomes (death or modified Rankin Scale > 3 at discharge). The radiomics model built using baseline IPH to predict HEP (RMP) showed 76.4% accuracy and 0.73 area under the ROC curve (AUC). The other model using IPH + IVH to predict HEP+V (RMP+V) had higher accuracy (81.9%) with AUC = 0.80, and this model could predict poor outcomes. The sensitivity/specificity of RMP and RMP+V for HE prediction were 71.9%/80.0% and 79.3%/84.1%, respectively. Conclusion: The proposed radiomics approach with additional IVH information can improve the accuracy in prediction of HE, which is associated with poor clinical outcomes. A reliable radiomics model may provide a robust tool to help manage ICH patients and to enroll high-risk ICH cases into anti-expansion or neuroprotection drug trials.

Automated summary

In this study, radiomics analysis was used to predict hematoma expansion (HE) in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) and investigate the impact of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH). The results showed that the radiomics model improved the accuracy of HE prediction and was associated with poor clinical outcomes.