A novel probabilistic approach to counterfactual reasoning in system safety

Article Engineering, Industrial

A risk science perspective on the discussion concerning Safety I, Safety II and Safety III

Terje Aven

Summary: This paper discusses the importance of integrating safety and risk sciences in understanding, assessing, communicating and managing system performance in the context of Safety I, Safety II, and Safety III approaches.

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Engineering, Industrial

BaNTERA: A Bayesian Network for Third-Party Excavation Risk Assessment

Andres Ruiz-Tagle et al.

Summary: This paper presents the development and results of BaNTERA, a probabilistic Bayesian network model for third-party excavation risk assessment in the U.S. The capabilities of BaNTERA for risk-informed decision support are demonstrated through model performance verification, damage rate prediction validation, and application in multiple case study scenarios.

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Engineering, Industrial

A Hybrid Physics-Based and Data-Driven Model for Power Distribution System Infrastructure Hardening and Outage Simulation

William Hughes et al.

Summary: In this study, a hybrid physics-based and data-driven model was proposed for predicting power outages. The model combines the physical attributes of the infrastructure system with machine learning techniques to predict outages, especially for extreme events where data may be limited. The results showed that the hybrid model outperformed purely data-driven approaches in predicting high-impact event outages. Additionally, the model was used to assess the impacts of grid hardening activities on reducing pole failures.

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Engineering, Industrial

A framework for quantitative analysis of the causation of grounding accidents in arctic shipping

Shanshan Fu et al.

Summary: The paper presents a framework for quantitative analysis of the causation of grounding accidents in Arctic shipping using an AcciMap - Bayesian network model. The framework was applied to analyze a cruise ship grounding accident, demonstrating improved understanding of risk factors, identification of critical risk factors, and determination of risk control options.

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY (2022)

Add to Collection

Article Engineering, Industrial

The influence of accident manuals on the effectiveness of accident investigations - An analysis of accident management documents of Ghanaian mines

Eric Stemn et al.

Summary: This study examined the effects of accident management documents on the effectiveness of investigation in Ghanaian mines. It found that there were areas for improvement in investigation methods, such as increasing focus on proposing and implementing solutions, and enhancing the importance of evaluating risk control measures.

SAFETY SCIENCE (2021)

Add to Collection

Article Engineering, Industrial