Journal
MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS JOURNAL
Volume 29, Issue 3, Pages 333-342Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
DOI: 10.1177/13524585221130941
Keywords
Clinically isolated syndrome; multiple sclerosis; prognosis; genetics
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This study found that HLA-DRB1*1501 is associated with the severity of multiple sclerosis (MS), as indicated by long-term disability worsening and greater extent of inflammatory disease activity and tissue loss. HLA-DRB1*1501 may provide useful information for prognosis and treatment decisions in early relapse-onset MS.
Background: Whether genetic factors influence the long-term course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is unresolved. Objective: To determine the influence of HLA-DRB1*1501 on long-term disease course in a homogeneous cohort of clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) patients. Methods: One hundred seven patients underwent clinical and MRI assessment at the time of CIS and after 1, 3, 5 and 15 years. HLA-DRB1*1501 status was determined using Sanger sequencing and tagging of the rs3135388 polymorphism. Linear/Poisson mixed-effects models were used to investigate rates of change in EDSS and MRI measures based on HLA-DRB1*1501 status. Results: HLA-DRB1*1501 -positive (n = 52) patients showed a faster rate of disability worsening compared with the HLA-DRB1*1501 -negative (n = 55) patients (annualised change in EDSS 0.14/year vs. 0.08/year, p < 0.025), and a greater annualised change in T2 lesion volume (adjusted difference 0.45 mL/year, p < 0.025), a higher number of gadolinium-enhancing lesions, and a faster rate of brain (adjusted difference -0.12%/year, p < 0.05) and spinal cord atrophy (adjusted difference -0.22 mm(2)/year, p < 0.05). Interpretation: These findings provide evidence that the HLA-DRB1*1501 allele plays a role in MS severity, as measured by long-term disability worsening and a greater extent of inflammatory disease activity and tissue loss. HLA-DRB1*1501 may provide useful information when considering prognosis and treatment decisions in early relapse-onset MS.
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