4.6 Article

Snow depth alteration and its relation with climate variability in China

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Volume -, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7993

Keywords

China; climate change; precipitation; snow depth; temperature

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Various climatic factors and their interactions affect China's snow depth alterations. Positive trends in winter snow depth in the northwest and northeast of China are mainly caused by solid precipitation and snow accumulation in fall, while the negative snow depth anomaly on the Tibetan Plateau is influenced by rising air temperature, changes in solid precipitation, and shallower fall snowpacks. In milder regions of central north and south China, the interannual variance in winter snow depth is also affected by atmospheric humidity. However, in spring and fall, the negative effect of warming climate becomes more important, contributing to the decrease in snow depth.
Various climatic factors and their interactions affect China's snow depth alterations. However, a measure of the relative importance of climatic factors regarding the variance in snow depth is lacking. Here, we use a heretofore largest dataset, quality-controlled daily observations from 1,665 meteorological stations, and statistical analyses to identify proxy drivers and their contributions regarding regional variability and trends in China's snow depth and snow depth-climate relationships from 1951 to 2019. Results show that seasonal snow depth alterations are substantial in China and caused by various climatic drivers. In winter, observed positive trends in the northwest and northeast of China mainly respond to augmentation in solid precipitation and snow accumulation in fall. For the Tibetan Plateau, the negative snow depth anomaly seems to respond to the rising air temperature below the freezing point along with some secular changes in solid precipitation and shallower fall snowpacks. All these trends in winter snow depth over the northwest, northeast, and Tibetan Plateau of China account approximately for 30% of the total interannual variance in spring snow depth in these regions. In the milder central north and south of China, snow accumulation is not evident. Besides solid precipitation and rising air temperature below the freezing point, atmospheric humidity is also notable for its effect on the interannual variance in winter snow depth in these regions. In spring and fall, however, the negative effect of warming climate on snow depth becomes remarkably more important. It seems that about 13-33% (12-50%) of the total interannual variance in the widespread decrease (insignificant perturbation), except for some weak increases in the northeast region (decreases in the Tibetan Plateau), of China's spring (fall) snow depth are caused by the rising air temperature below the freezing point.

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