4.7 Article

Increasing Precipitation Efficiency Amplifies Climate Sensitivity by Enhancing Tropical Circulation Slowdown and Eastern Pacific Warming Pattern

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 50, Issue 2, Pages -

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2022GL100836

Keywords

-

Ask authors/readers for more resources

The role of precipitation efficiency (PE) in the global temperature response to CO2 rise is studied. It is found that higher temperatures are associated with higher PE. The increase in PE is linked to tropical circulation slowdown and greater eastern equatorial Pacific warming, resulting in positive cloud feedback and higher Effective Climate Sensitivity (ECS).
The role of precipitation efficiency (PE)-the fraction of column-integrated condensate that reaches the surface as rain-in the global temperature response to CO2 rise is yet to be quantified. Here we employ 36 limited-domain cloud resolving models (CRMs) from the Radiative-Convective Equilibrium Model Intercomparison Project and find that they strongly imply higher PE at warmer temperatures. We then analyze 35 general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and find that increasing PE is associated with tropical circulation slowdown and greater eastern equatorial Pacific warming. These changes trigger pan-tropical positive cloud feedback through stratiform anvil cloud reduction and stratocumulus suppression, resulting in higher Effective Climate Sensitivity (ECS). We find that in 24 of 35 GCMs matching the CRMs in simulating increasing PE with greenhouse warming, mean ECS is 1 K higher than in PE-decreasing GCMs. Thus, further constraining PE sensitivity to temperature could reduce uncertainty over future climate projections.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.7
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

No Data Available
No Data Available