Determining venous thromboembolism risk in patients with adult-type diffuse glioma

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a life-threating condition that is common in patients with adult-type diffuse gliomas, yet thromboprophylaxis is controversial because of possible intracerebral hemorrhage. Effective VTE prediction models exist for other cancers, but not glioma. Our objective was to develop a VTE prediction tool to improve glioma patient care, incorporating clinical, blood-based, histologic, and molecular markers. We analyzed preoperative arterial blood, tumor tissue, and clinical-pathologic data (including next-generation sequencing data) from 258 patients with newly diagnosed World Health Organization (WHO) grade 2 to 4 adult-type diffuse gliomas. Forty-six (17.8%) experienced VTE. Tumor expression of tissue factor (TF) and podoplanin (PDPN) each positively correlated with VTE, although only circulating TF and D-dimers, not circulating PDPN, correlated with VTE risk. Gliomas with mutations in isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) or IDH2 (IDHmut) caused fewer VTEs; multivariable analysis suggested that this is due to IDHmut suppression of TF, not PDPN. In a predictive time-to-event model, the following predicted increased VTE risk in newly diagnosed patients with glioma: (1) history of VTE; (2) hypertension; (3) asthma; (4) white blood cell count; (5) WHO tumor grade; (6) patient age; and (7) body mass index. Conversely, IDHmut, hypothyroidism, and MGMT promoter methylation predicted reduced VTE risk. These 10 variables were used to create a web-based VTE prediction tool that was validated in 2 separate cohorts of patients with adult-type diffuse glioma from other institutions. This study extends our understanding of the VTE landscape in these tumors and provides evidence-based guidance for clinicians to mitigate VTE risk in patients with glioma.

Automated summary

The study developed a VTE prediction tool to improve care for adult-type diffuse glioma patients, incorporating clinical, blood-based, histologic, and molecular markers. Analysis of data from 258 newly diagnosed patients revealed that tumor expression of TF and PDPN correlated with VTE, and circulating TF and D-dimers correlated with VTE risk. Several factors, including past VTE history, hypertension, asthma, white blood cell count, WHO tumor grade, patient age, and body mass index, predicted increased VTE risk in newly diagnosed glioma patients. Conversely, IDH mutation, hypothyroidism, and MGMT promoter methylation predicted reduced VTE risk.