4.1 Article

An evaluation of alternative methods for testing hypotheses, from the perspective of Harold Jeffreys

Journal

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL PSYCHOLOGY
Volume 72, Issue -, Pages 43-55

Publisher

ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2016.01.003

Keywords

Bayes factors; Induction; Model selection; Replication; Statistical evidence

Funding

  1. starting grant Bayes or Bust - European Research Council [283876]
  2. European Research Council (ERC) [283876] Funding Source: European Research Council (ERC)

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Our original article provided a relatively detailed summary of Harold Jeffreys's philosophy on statistical hypothesis testing. In response, Robert (2016) maintains that Bayes factors have a number of serious shortcomings. These shortcomings, Robert argues, may be addressed by an alternative approach that conceptualizes model selection as parameter estimation in a mixture model. In a second comment, Chandramouli and Shiffrin (2016) seek to extend Jeffreys's framework by also taking into consideration data distributions that do not originate from either of the models under test. In this rejoinder we argue that Robert's (2016) alternative view on testing has more in common with Jeffreys's Bayes factor than he suggests, as they share the same shortcomings. On the other hand, we show that the proposition of Chandramouli and Shiffrin (2016) to extend the Bayes factor is in fact further removed from Jeffreys's view on testing than the authors suggest. By elaborating on these points, we hope to clarify our case for Jeffreys's Bayes factors. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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