Tree-Ring Stable Carbon Isotope-Based Mean Maximum Temperature Reconstruction in Northwest China and Its Connection with Atmospheric Circulations

The inter-annual stable carbon isotope ratio (delta C-13) of three tree-ring cores of P. euphratica (Populus euphratica Oliv.) was determined from Ejina Oasis in Northwest China. A robust and representative delta C-13 chronology is generated from the three delta C-13 series using an arithmetic mean method. After eliminating the influence of the delta C-13 from elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration, we obtained a carbon isotopic discrimination (Delta C-13) chronology. According to the significant correlation between the tree-ring Delta C-13 and instrumental data, we reconstructed the mean maximum temperature anomalies from previous December to current September (T-DS) for the period 1901-2011. The reconstruction explained 43.6% of the variance over the calibration period. Three high-temperature periods (1929-1965, 1972-1974, and 1992-2006) and three low-temperature periods (1906-1926, 1966-1968, and 1975-1991) were found in the reconstructed series. Comparisons between the reconstructed T-DS and the observed mean temperature from previous December to current September in Anxi meteorological station and the temperature index in north-central China demonstrated the reconstructed T-DS has the advantage of reliability and stability. The significant spatial correlation declared that the reconstruction has a broad spatial representation and can represent the temperature variation characteristics in a wide geographical area. In addition, we found that the area of Ejina Oasis is smaller (larger) when the mean maximum temperature is higher (lower), which may be due to a conjunction effect of natural and anthropogenic activities. Significant periodicities and correlations suggested that the T-DS variations in Ejina Oasis were regulated by solar radiation and atmospheric circulations at the interannual and interdecadal time scales.

Automated summary

By analyzing the stable carbon isotope ratio of Populus euphratica tree-ring cores in Ejina Oasis, a reliable climate reconstruction was established showing high and low temperature periods and spatial characteristics of temperature change in the region, influenced by solar radiation and atmospheric circulation.