Factors underlying COVID-19 vaccine and booster hesitancy and refusal, and incentivizing vaccine adoption

The paper investigates the factors underlying COVID-19 vaccine and booster hesitancy in the United States, and the efficacy of various incentives or disincentives to expand uptake. We use cross-sectional, national survey data on 3,497 U.S. adults collected online from September 10, 2021 to October 20, 2021 through the Qualtrics platform. Results from a multinomial logistic regression reveal that hesitancy and refusal were greatest among those who expressed a lack of trust either in government or in the vaccine's efficacy (hesitancy relative risk ratio, or RRR: 2.86, 95% CI: 2.13-3.83, p<0.001). Hesitancy and refusal were lowest among those who typically get a flu vaccine (hesitancy RRR: 0.28, 95% CI: 0.21-0.36, p<0.001; refusal RRR: 0.08, 95% CI: 0.05-0.13, p<0.001). Similar results hold for the intention to get a booster shot among the fully vaccinated. Monetary rewards (i.e., lottery ticket and gift cards) fared poorly in moving people toward vaccination. In contrast, the prospect of job loss or increased health insurance premiums was found to significantly increase vaccine uptake, by 8.7 percentage points (p<0.001) and 9.4 percentage points (p<0.001), respectively. We also show that the motivations underlying individuals' hesitancy or refusal to get vaccinated vary, which, in turn, suggests that messaging must be refined and directed accordingly. Also, moving forward, it may be fruitful to more deeply study the intriguing possibility that expanding flu vaccine uptake may also enhance willingness to vaccinate in times of pandemics. Last, disincentives such as work-based vaccination mandates that would result in job loss or higher health insurance premiums for those who refuse vaccination should be strongly considered to improve vaccine uptake in the effort to address the common good.

Automated summary

This paper investigates the factors underlying vaccine hesitancy in the US and the efficacy of different incentives or disincentives to increase vaccine uptake. The study found that lack of trust in government or vaccine efficacy was associated with higher levels of hesitancy and refusal. On the other hand, individuals who typically get a flu vaccine were less likely to be hesitant or refuse the COVID-19 vaccine. Monetary rewards were not effective in increasing vaccination rates, while the prospect of job loss or higher health insurance premiums significantly increased vaccine uptake.