Journal
NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY
Volume 47, Issue 1, Pages -Publisher
NEW ZEALAND ECOL SOC
DOI: 10.20417/nzjecol.47.3503
Keywords
evidence -base; experimental design; logistic regression; pest control; randomisation; replication; representativeness; sampling universe; systematic review
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The benefits of managing invasive species for terrestrial biodiversity in New Zealand are widely acknowledged, but the quality of the evidence supporting this remains uncertain. A study evaluated the design of field-based studies assessing biodiversity responses to invasive species management. It found that attention to experimental design principles, such as robust sampling and avoidance of bias, is lacking in many published articles. The study suggests that improving experimental design is important for producing more reliable results in future field studies.
Benefits of invasive species management for terrestrial biodiversity are widely expected and promoted in New Zealand. Evidence for this is presented in policy and scientific reviews of the literature, but the robustness and repeatability of the underpinning evidence-base remains poorly understood. We evaluated the design of field-based studies assessing biodiversity responses to invasive species management in 155 peerreviewed articles published in 46 journals from 2010-2019. Each study was assessed against nine principles of experimental design, covering robustness of sampling and avoidance of bias. These principles are important in New Zealand to detect treatment effects from environmental variability driven by underlying gradients such as soil fertility, climate, and disturbance. Across all publications, about half defined the sampling universe (52%) or were unreplicated (54%), whereas most (74%) did not representatively collect data across the sampling universe. Management treatments were specified, with or without only influencing the target species, in 68% of publications. Relatively few studies quantified invasive species (15%) and biodiversity responses (27%) representatively within replicates. Initial conditions and accounting for the effects of experimental implementation were not used in 57% and 84% of publications, respectively. No publications avoided observer/analyst bias using blinding methods, despite this being widely adopted in other scientific fields. We used ordinal logistic regression to understand how these principles varied among categories of biodiversity responses and for major groups of invasive species. Our findings suggest that greater attention to experimental design principles is desirable: supported by researchers, funding agencies, reviewers, and journal editors. Greater resources are not necessarily a solution to these design issues. One alternative is undertaking fewer studies that are individually more expensive because they better adhere to experimental design principles. The challenges of meeting experimental design principles suggests a significant role for other approaches such as systematic monitoring and natural experiments, although many of the design principles we discuss still apply. Our intent in this article is to improve the robustness of future field studies for at least some principles. Robust designs have enduring species on biodiversity are reversible.
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