Battery health management using physics-informed machine learning: Online degradation modeling and remaining useful life prediction

Lithium-ion batteries have been extensively used to power portable electronics, electric vehicles, and unmanned aerial vehicles over the past decade. Aging decreases the capacity of Lithium-ion batteries. Therefore, accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is critical to the reliability, safety, and efficiency of the Lithium-ion battery-powered systems. However, battery aging is a complex electrochemical process affected by internal aging mechanisms and operating conditions (e.g., cycle time, environmental temperature, and loading condition). In this paper, a physics-informed machine learning method is proposed to model the degradation trend and predict the RUL of Lithium-ion batteries while accounting for battery health and operating conditions. The proposed physics-informed long short-term memory (PI-LSTM) model combines a physics-based calendar and cycle aging (CCA) model with an LSTM layer. The CCA model measures the aging effect of Lithium-ion batteries by combining five operating stress factor models. The PI-LSTM uses an LSTM layer to learn the relationship between the degradation trend determined by the CCA model and the online monitoring data of different cycles (i.e., voltage, current, and cell temperature). After the degradation pattern of a battery is estimated by the PI-LSTM model, another LSTM model is then used to predict the future degradation and remaining useful life (RUL) of the battery by learning the degradation trend estimated by the PI-LSTM model. Monitoring data of eleven Lithium-ion batteries under different operating conditions was used to demonstrate the proposed method. Experimental results have shown that the proposed method can accurately model the degradation behavior as well as predict the RUL of Lithium-ion batteries under different operating conditions.

Automated summary

This paper proposes a physics-informed machine learning method for accurate modeling and prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of Lithium-ion batteries. The method considers the impact of battery health and operating conditions on battery aging and combines a calendar and cycle aging model with an LSTM layer for modeling and prediction. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately model and predict the degradation behavior and RUL of Lithium-ion batteries under different operating conditions.