Reference dose prediction by using CDK molecular descriptors: A non-experimental method

Reference dose (RfD) is an estimate of a daily dose that individual can be exposed chronically without obvious deleterious effects during a lifetime. In the area of toxicology, researchers always use the traditional approach by employing NOAEL/LOAEL or the benchmark dose (BMD) and other dose-response approaches to estimate RfD. These methods have, despite their typicalness, certain limitations. In this study, we present a novel method of the estimation of reference dose without experiments. The information of the organic chemicals is available from the Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) of USEPA. Molecular descriptors for each molecular structure were calculated by an integrated platform, and the chemicals were classified into four categories based on molecular similarity: 128 contained benzene rings, 47 were heteroaromatics, 104 contained halogen substituents and 44 were halogenated aliphatic hydrocarbons. The predictive model of RfD was constructed by the multiple linear stepwise regression (MLR) method. Approximately 95% and 82% of the data points differ by less than 10-fold and 5-fold between the predicted values and the true values respectively. The non-experimental method improves the estimation efficiency and has a certain reference value to predict.

Automated summary

In this study, a new non-experimental method for estimating reference dose was proposed. It involves classifying chemicals based on molecular similarity and using multiple linear stepwise regression to construct a predictive model. The method shows a high level of consistency between predicted values and true values.