4.7 Article

MCMC-driven importance samplers

Journal

APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING
Volume 111, Issue -, Pages 1-22

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.apm.2022.06.027

Keywords

Bayesian inference; Importance sampling; Quadrature methods; Computational algorithms

Funding

  1. Spanish government [FPU19/00815]
  2. Agencia Estatal de InvestigacionAEI [PID2019-105032GB-I0 0]
  3. Young Researchers RD Project [F861]
  4. AUTO -BA -GRAPH - Community of Madrid
  5. Rey Juan Carlos University

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This study focuses on layered adaptive importance sampling algorithms and proposes different enhancements to increase efficiency and reduce computational costs. Strategies for designing cheaper schemes are also introduced. Numerical experiments demonstrate the advantages of the proposed schemes in handling computational challenges in real-world applications.
Monte Carlo sampling methods are the standard procedure for approximating complicated integrals of multidimensional posterior distributions in Bayesian inference. In this work, we focus on the class of layered adaptive importance sampling algorithms, which is a fam-ily of adaptive importance samplers where Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are em-ployed to drive an underlying multiple importance sampling scheme. The modular nature of the layered adaptive importance sampling scheme allows for different possible imple-mentations, yielding a variety of different performances and computational costs. In this work, we propose different enhancements of the classical layered adaptive importance sampling setting in order to increase the efficiency and reduce the computational cost, of both upper and lower layers. The different variants address computational challenges arising in real-world applications, for instance with highly concentrated posterior distri-butions. Furthermore, we introduce different strategies for designing cheaper schemes, for instance, recycling samples generated in the upper layer and using them in the final esti-mators in the lower layer. Different numerical experiments show the benefits of the pro-posed schemes, comparing with benchmark methods presented in the literature, and in several challenging scenarios. (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ )

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