Journal
JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS
Volume 24, Issue 2, Pages 159-173Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/15270025221111790
Keywords
policy response; strategic offsetting behavior; substitution; sports economics; public choice
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This paper examines the impact of policy changes, specifically the extension of the three-point line distance in NCAA and NBA, on basketball team performance. The findings suggest that a longer three-point line leads to a decrease in shooting accuracy and a reduction in the number of three-point shots taken.
This paper considers recent and historical changes in the three-point line distance at the NCAA and NBA levels as an example of policy change with highly-measurable outcome(s). The paper presents several empirical tests describing a point-maximizing basketball team's optimal allocation of two-point and three-point shots. It does so primarily in the context that the NCAA Men's Basketball three-point line was extended from 20'9 '' to 21'9 '' in advance of the 2019-20 season, and similar analysis for the NBA in the 1990s. We find that a three-point line extension significantly lowers three- and two-point shot proficiency, while decreasing (increasing) three-point (two-point) shot volume.
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