4.7 Article

The globalizability of temporal discounting

Journal

NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
Volume 6, Issue 10, Pages 1386-1397

Publisher

NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41562-022-01392-w

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Funding

  1. Columbia University Undergraduate Global Engagement
  2. Department of Health Policy and Management
  3. MRC-CBU at the University of Cambridge through a UKRI grant (UKRI-MRC grant) [MC_UU_00005/6]

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This study examines the relationship between economic inequality and temporal discounting and intertemporal choice anomalies. The findings suggest that economic inequality and broader financial circumstances are correlated with population choice patterns. However, there are no significant differences in temporal discounting and choice anomalies among lower-income groups.
Economic inequality is associated with preferences for smaller, immediate gains over larger, delayed ones. Such temporal discounting may feed into rising global inequality, yet it is unclear whether it is a function of choice preferences or norms, or rather the absence of sufficient resources for immediate needs. It is also not clear whether these reflect true differences in choice patterns between income groups. We tested temporal discounting and five intertemporal choice anomalies using local currencies and value standards in 61 countries (N = 13,629). Across a diverse sample, we found consistent, robust rates of choice anomalies. Lower-income groups were not significantly different, but economic inequality and broader financial circumstances were clearly correlated with population choice patterns. Ruggeri et al. find in a study of 61 countries that temporal discounting patterns are globally generalizable. Worse financial environments, greater inequality and high inflation are associated with extreme or inconsistent long-term decisions.

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