4.6 Article

Vulnerability Analysis of Coastal Zone Based on InVEST Model in Jiaozhou Bay, China

Journal

SUSTAINABILITY
Volume 14, Issue 11, Pages -

Publisher

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/su14116913

Keywords

InVEST model; Jiaozhou Bay; coastal vulnerability; spatial autocorrelation

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [62071279]
  2. Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation, Ministry of Natural Resources [KF-2019-04-070]
  3. SDUST Research Fund [2019TDJH103]

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The coastal zone of Jiaozhou Bay plays a crucial role in maintaining the ecosystem balance and promoting human society and economic development. A study on the vulnerability of the coastal zone has shown that the north coast of Jiaozhou Bay is prone to coastal erosion, while the south and east are relatively safe. The analysis also revealed significant spatial autocorrelation in the coastal vulnerability. Factors such as coastline type, elevation, distance to continental shelf, and socio-economic development contribute to the differences in vulnerability along the Jiaozhou Bay coast.
The coastal zone plays an essential part in maintaining the balance of the ecosystem and promoting the development of human society and economy. It is significant to assess the extent to which the Jiaozhou Bay coastal zone withstands floods and coastal erosion during storms. The coastal exposure index (CEI) of the Jiaozhou Bay in 1984, 2000 and 2019 was obtained by the coastal vulnerability model based on data including coastline, bathymetry and coastal terrain elevation. The spatial distribution and aggregation characteristics of CEI in Jiaozhou Bay were analyzed through spatial autocorrelation analysis. The results show that the north coast of Jiaozhou Bay is highly vulnerable, that is, prone to coastal erosion, while the south and east are less vulnerable, meaning that they can basically withstand natural disasters such as storm surges and floods. The CEI shows significant spatial autocorrelation, with little spatial heterogeneity. The type of coastline, elevation, distance to continental shelf and socio-economic development are the main factors that cause the north-south vulnerability differences in the Jiaozhou Bay coast. The results can identify the districts along the Jiaozhou Bay that are at greater risk of marine disasters, and provide scientific theoretical support for the coastal protection and sustainable development of the Jiaozhou Bay.

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