Journal
STUDIES IN APPLIED MATHEMATICS
Volume 149, Issue 3, Pages 631-656Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/sapm.12515
Keywords
Brownian motion; extinction; insecticide-treated nets; malaria; persistence; positivity; stochastic nonlinear model; simulations
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Funding
- STORM-Stochastics for Time-Space Risk Models - Research Council of Norway Independent projects: ToppForsk [274410]
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This paper introduces a stochastic model for malaria transmission and considers its behavior under prevention measures. By introducing white noise to represent environmental fluctuations, the study proves the existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution to the stochastic model, as well as the conditions for extinction and persistence. Numerical simulations illustrate the impact of environmental fluctuations on theoretical results and conclusions.
Stochastic model for malaria transmission is introduced, and its behavior under insecticide-treated nets (which is used as a prevention) is considered. A white noise is introduced into the model, representing fluctuations in the environment that manifest themselves naturally on the transmission coefficient rate. Existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution of the stochastic model are proved, as well as the conditions under which extinction and persistence in mean hold are establish. Numerical simulations are provided, which illustrate that the theoretical results and conclusions are derived on the impact of the fluctuations that are caused by the environment.
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