4.5 Article

Identifying oil market states based on structure and evolution of the international crude oil trade networks

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MODERN PHYSICS B
Volume 36, Issue 22, Pages -

Publisher

WORLD SCIENTIFIC PUBL CO PTE LTD
DOI: 10.1142/S0217979222501375

Keywords

Econophysics; international oil trade network; market state

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [U1811462, 72171083]
  2. Shanghai Outstanding Academic Leaders Plan
  3. Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities

Ask authors/readers for more resources

This article constructs the international oil trade network (iOTN) and analyzes its structure and evolution characteristics. Different oil market states are identified using the sequential clustering method. The study reveals an increase in bilateral cooperation, closer trade ties, and an upward trend in network reciprocity in the oil market.
With the growing demand for energy, the importance of oil as a major energy resource is increasingly evident, and trade has become the key to balancing energy supply and demand. We construct the evolving international oil trade network (iOTN) and analyze the structure and evolution characteristics of the network. Meanwhile, we identify different oil market states by applying the sequential clustering method, combined with relevant network indicators. We find an increase in bilateral cooperation among economies in the oil market, closer trade ties and an upward trend in network reciprocity. The iOTN is heterogeneous, and economies with widely differing trade positions are more likely to cooperate. Trade cooperation with significant trade volumes is more irreplaceable and stable. The changes of oil market state in 1990, 2004 and 2014 indicate that major international events significantly impact the structure of energy systems and trade networks. The division of the oil trade market state by sequential clustering can reflect the reality. Our study clarifies the structural attributes of the iOTN, explores the evolution of the oil trade pattern from the network level, and accurately identifies the state changes in the international oil market.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.5
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

No Data Available
No Data Available