Journal
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SYSTEMS
Volume 9, Issue 2, Pages 469-479Publisher
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
DOI: 10.1109/TCSS.2021.3098975
Keywords
Decision making; Correlation; Collaboration; Psychology; Crowdsourcing; Computer science; Bayes methods; Correlated local decisions; group decision-making; heterogeneity; human decision-making; information fusion; portfolio theory
Funding
- NSF [CCF-2047701]
- Army Research Office (ARO) [W911NF-18-1-0152]
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This research explores the improvement of collaborative human decision-making by promoting heterogeneity, using signal detection theory and portfolio theory to show that enhancing heterogeneity can result in better detection performance at the fusion center.
While there has been extensive work on modeling of human decision-making both for individuals and groups from a cognitive psychology point of view, research on this topic from a signal processing and information fusion perspective is relatively recent. In this work, we consider a distributed detection problem consisting of a number of human local decision makers and a fusion center (FC). Signal detection theory is exploited to answer why promoting heterogeneity could improve the performance of collaborative human decision-making. We consider the following two scenarios: 1) the local decision makers are independent and the level of heterogeneity is measured in terms of the variability of human expertise and 2) humans make correlated local decisions due to their perceptual and behavioral similarities and heterogeneity is measured by the amount of correlation. In both cases, we show that the detection performance of the FC can be improved with the increase of heterogeneity. In particular, in the second scenario, we develop a portfolio theory-based framework to select participants from correlated human agents so that heterogeneity is enhanced resulting in improved decision-making performance. Simulations are provided for illustration and performance comparison.
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