Predictors of COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy in South African Local Communities: The VaxScenes Study

South Africa launched a mass COVID-19 vaccination campaign in May 2021, targeting 40 million adults. Understanding predictors of COVID-19 vaccine intentions was required to achieve this goal. We conducted a population-based survey in June-July 2021 using the WHO Behavioral and Social Drivers (BeSD) of COVID-19 Vaccination tool to determine predictors of vaccine hesitancy, defined as intention to refuse or uncertainty whether to accept COVID-19 vaccination. There were 1193 participants, mean age 39 (standard deviation 15) years, and 53% women, of whom 58% trusted information provided by healthcare workers and 32% were vaccine hesitant. Independent predictors of vaccine hesitancy included concerns about side effects (odds ratio (OR) 11.41; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.5-50.80), lack of access to the online vaccine registration platform (OR 4.75; CI 2.15-10.37), distrust of government (OR 3.0; CI 1.33-6.77), belief in conspiracy theories (OR 3.01; CI 1.32-6.77), having no monthly income (OR 1.84; CI 1.12-3.07), and depending on someone else to make vaccination decision (OR 2.47; CI 1.06-5.77). We identified modifiable predictors of vaccine hesitancy at the start of South Africa's COVID-19 vaccination rollout. These factors should be addressed by different stakeholders involved in the national immunization program through tailored communication and other effective strategies that increase vaccine literacy, reach low-income households, and engender confidence in government.

Automated summary

South Africa launched a mass COVID-19 vaccination campaign and conducted a population-based survey to determine predictors of vaccine hesitancy. The survey identified concerns about side effects, lack of access to online registration platform, distrust of government, belief in conspiracy theories, no monthly income, and dependence on others for vaccination decision as independent predictors of vaccine hesitancy. These factors should be addressed through tailored communication and effective strategies to improve vaccine literacy, reach low-income households, and foster confidence in the government.