Routine laboratory parameters, including complete blood count, predict COVID-19 in-hospital mortality in geriatric patients

To reduce the mortality of COVID-19 older patients, clear criteria to predict in-hospital mortality are urgently needed. Here, we aimed to evaluate the performance of selected routine laboratory biomarkers in improving the prediction of in-hospital mortality in 641 consecutive COVID-19 geriatric patients (mean age 86.6 +/- 6.8) who were hospitalized at the INRCA hospital (Ancona, Italy). Thirty-four percent of the enrolled patients were deceased during the in-hospital stay. The percentage of severely frail patients, assessed with the Clinical Frailty Scale, was significantly increased in deceased patients compared to the survived ones. The age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score was not significantly associated with an increased risk of death. Among the routine parameters, neutrophilia, eosinopenia, lymphopenia, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, IL-6, and NT-proBNP showed the highest predictive values. The fully adjusted Cox regressions models confirmed that high neutrophil %, NLR, derived NLR (dNLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and low lymphocyte count, eosinophil %, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were the best predictors of inhospital mortality, independently from age, gender, and other potential confounders. Overall, our results strongly support the use of routine parameters, including complete blood count, in geriatric patients to predict COVID-19 in-hospital mortality, independent from baseline comorbidities and frailty.

Automated summary

The study aimed to evaluate the performance of selected routine laboratory biomarkers in predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly COVID-19 patients. The results showed that certain parameters, such as neutrophilia and lymphopenia, had high predictive values for in-hospital mortality.