Journal
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
Volume 35, Issue 5, Pages 1459-1477Publisher
AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0695.1
Keywords
Mixing; Ocean dynamics; Water masses/storage; Heat budgets/fluxes; Climate models; Climate variability
Categories
Funding
- Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF)
- Australian government
- Australian Research Council (ARC)'s Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes
- ARC [DP190101173, DE21010004]
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Anthropogenically induced radiative imbalances in the climate system result in heat accumulation in the ocean. Watermass-based analysis can effectively extract forced signals, but natural modes of variability still have significant influence in these coordinate systems. Spectral analysis reveals that temperature variations in different coordinate systems are mainly influenced by different processes, with surface forcing having a strong impact on temperature coordinates.
Anthropogenically induced radiative imbalances in the climate system lead to a slow accumulation of heat in the ocean. This warming is often obscured by natural modes of climate variability such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which drive substantial ocean temperature changes as a function of depth and latitude. The use of watermass coordinates has been proposed to help isolate forced signals and filter out fast adiabatic processes associated with modes of variability. However, how much natural modes of variability project into these different coordinate systems has not been quantified. Here we apply a rigorous framework to quantify ocean temperature variability using both a quasi-Lagrangian, watermass-based temperature coordinate and Eulerian depth and latitude coordinates in a free-running climate model under preindustrial conditions. The temperature-based coordinate removes the adiabatic component of ENSO-dominated interannual variability by definition, but a substantial diabatic signal remains. At slower (decadal to centennial) frequencies, variability in the temperature- and depth-based coordinates is comparable. Spectral analysis of temperature tendencies reveals the dominance of advective processes in latitude and depth coordinates while the variability in temperature coordinates is related closely to the surface forcing. Diabatic mixing processes play an important role at slower frequencies where quasi-steady-state balances emerge between forcing and mixing in temperature, advection and mixing in depth, and forcing and advection in latitude. While watermass-based analyses highlight diabatic effects by removing adiabatic variability, our work shows that natural variability has a strong diabatic component and cannot be ignored in the analysis of long-term trends.
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