Journal
ENERGY
Volume 243, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.123024
Keywords
Energy consumption; Grey relation analysis; Adjacent accumulation; AGMC(1; N) model
Categories
Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [71871084, U20A20316]
- young talent support scheme of Hebei Province [360-0803-YBN-7U2C]
- Excellent Young Scientist Foundation of Hebei Education Department [SLRC2019001]
- Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province, China [E2020402074]
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Scientific prediction of regional energy is of practical significance for rational control of energy supply. In this paper, the grey relational analysis and the FGM(1,1) model are used to analyze the samples, and a new grey multi-variable AGMC(1,N) model is used to study 13 provinces (cities) in 7 different regions of China. The results show that energy consumption in Central China will decrease in the short term, while it will continue to rise in the other regions.
Scientific prediction of regional energy is of practical significance for rational control of energy supply. In this paper, to further minimize the influence of subjective factors, the grey relational analysis and the FGM(1,1) model whose forecast results are affected by the fixed order are selected to analyze the samples. Then, a new grey multi-variable AGMC(1,N) model with better prediction performance is used to study 13 provinces (cities) in 7 different regions of China in detail. The results show that only the energy consumption in Central China will decrease in the short term. Energy consumption in the remaining 6 regions will continue to rise, and the energy consumption of East China, Northeast China, and Northwest China have a remarkable growth trend. It is important to provide reliable data to China's energy regulators and provide a reference for regional energy reform in the short term.(c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available