4.5 Article

Integrating attribution with adaptation for unprecedented future heatwaves

Journal

CLIMATIC CHANGE
Volume 172, Issue 1-2, Pages -

Publisher

SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-022-03357-4

Keywords

Climate change; Heatwave; Attribution; Adaptation

Funding

  1. New Zealand Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment via the Endeavour Fund

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Citizens in many countries are currently experiencing record-breaking heatwaves that have been exacerbated by anthropogenic climate change. The question of whether similar heatwaves could have occurred in pre-industrial climates, which was traditionally a central focus of attribution research, is becoming increasingly irrelevant. The next frontier for attribution science is to provide information for adaptation decision-making in the face of unprecedented future heat.
Citizens in many countries are now experiencing record-smashing heatwaves that were intensified due to anthropogenic climate change. Whether today's most impactful heatwaves could have occurred in a pre-industrial climate, traditionally a central focus of attribution research, is fast becoming an obsolete question. The next frontier for attribution science is to inform adaptation decision-making in the face of unprecedented future heat.

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