CT-based morphologic and radiomics features for the classification of MYCN gene amplification status in pediatric neuroblastoma

Purpose MYCN onco-gene amplification in neuroblastoma confers patients to the high-risk disease category for which prognosis is poor and more aggressive multimodal treatment is indicated. This retrospective study leverages machine learning techniques to develop a computed tomography (CT)-based model incorporating semantic and non-semantic features for non-invasive prediction of MYCN amplification status in pediatric neuroblastoma. Methods From 2009 to 2020, 54 pediatric patients treated for neuroblastoma at a specialized children's hospital with pre-treatment contrast-enhanced CT and MYCN status were identified (training cohort, n = 44; testing cohort, n = 10). Six morphologic features and 107 quantitative gray-level texture radiomics features extracted from manually drawn volumeof-interest were analyzed. Following feature selection and class balancing, the final predictive model was developed with eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. Accumulated local effects (ALE) plots were used to explore main effects of the predictive features. Tumor texture maps were also generated for visualization of radiomics features. Results One morphologic and 2 radiomics features were selected for model building. The XGBoost model from the training cohort yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.930 (95% CI, 0.85-1.00), optimized F1-score of 0.878, and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) of 0.773. Evaluation on the testing cohort returned AUC-ROC of 0.880 (95% CI, 0.64-1.00), optimized F1-score of 0.933, and MCC of 0.764. ALE plots and texture maps showed higher GreyLevelNonUniformity values, lower Strength values, and higher number of image-defined risk factors contribute to higher predicted probability of MYCN amplification. Conclusion The machine learning model reliably classified MYCN amplification in pediatric neuroblastoma and shows potential as a surrogate imaging biomarker.

Automated summary

This study developed a machine learning model based on CT images to predict the amplification status of MYCN in pediatric neuroblastoma. The model showed good predictive accuracy in clinical data.