4.7 Article

Pancreatic cancer survival by stage and age in seven high-income countries (ICBP SURVMARK-2): a population-based study

Journal

BRITISH JOURNAL OF CANCER
Volume 126, Issue 12, Pages 1774-1782

Publisher

SPRINGERNATURE
DOI: 10.1038/s41416-022-01752-3

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Funding

  1. Canadian Partnership Against Cancer
  2. Cancer Council Victoria
  3. Cancer Institute New South Wales
  4. Cancer Research UK
  5. Danish Cancer Society
  6. National Cancer Registry Ireland
  7. Cancer Society of New Zealand
  8. NHS England
  9. Norwegian Cancer Society
  10. Public Health Agency Northern Ireland on behalf of the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry
  11. DG Health and Social Care, Scottish Government
  12. Western Australia Department of Health
  13. Public Health Wales NHS Trust

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This study compares the net survival rates of pancreatic cancer across seven high-income countries at different ages and stages. The results show that the survival rates are generally low in these countries, with most patients being diagnosed at an advanced stage. The study highlights the importance of early diagnosis and treatment in improving pancreatic cancer prognosis.
Background The global burden of pancreatic cancer has steadily increased, while the prognosis after pancreatic cancer diagnosis remains poor. This study aims to compare the stage- and age-specific pancreatic cancer net survival (NS) for seven high-income countries: Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway, and United Kingdom. Methods The study included over 35,000 pancreatic cancer cases diagnosed during 2012-2014, followed through 31 December 2015. The stage- and age-specific NS were calculated using the Pohar-Perme estimator. Results Pancreatic cancer survival estimates were low across all 7 countries, with 1-year NS ranging from 21.1% in New Zealand to 30.9% in Australia, and 3-year NS from 6.6% in the UK to 10.9% in Australia. Most pancreatic cancers were diagnosed with distant stage, ranging from 53.9% in Ireland to 83.3% in New Zealand. While survival differences were evident between countries across all stage categories at one year after diagnosis, this survival advantage diminished, particularly in cases with distant stage. Conclusion This study demonstrated the importance of stage and age at diagnosis in pancreatic cancer survival. Although progress has been made in improving pancreatic cancer prognosis, the disease is highly fatal and will remain so without major breakthroughs in the early diagnosis and management.

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