Estimation of barley yield from Sentinel-1 and sentinel-2 imagery and climatic variables

A precise estimation of agricultural production provides relevant information for upcoming seasons, and helps in the assessment of crop losses before harvest in case of adverse situations. The objective of this work is to explore the development of a model capable of estimating barley production of a small agricultural production (127 ha) in Belchite, Spain. Variables adapted to the crop calendar of the growing barley are used to achieve that purpose. The variables have been created with weather data and remote sensing images. These images are acquired in two ranges of the electromagnetic spectrum, i.e., microwaves and optical spectral range, obtained from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2, respectively. Models are defined with a multiple linear regression method using all combinations of the independent variables correlated with production. The best linear regression model has a prediction error of 57.38 kg/ha (4%). The use of spectral variables, derived from radar vegetation index Cross Ratio (CR) and optical Inverted Red Edge Chlorophyll Index (IRECI), and climatic variables adapted to the crop calendar and climatic conditioning is revealed as an adequate strategy to obtain adjusted models.

Automated summary

The objective of this study is to develop a model capable of accurately estimating barley production in a small agricultural production in Spain. By using variables adapted to the crop calendar, derived from weather data and remote sensing images, and applying multiple linear regression, the study achieved the best model with a small prediction error.