4.2 Article

Has the information and communication technology sector become the engine of China's economic growth?

Journal

REVIEW OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
Volume 26, Issue 1, Pages 510-533

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/rode.12821

Keywords

causative matrix; information and communication technology sector; information intensity; input-output analysis; linkage analysis; structural decomposition analysis

Funding

  1. National Social Science Foundation Project of China [21BJL008]

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This study analyzes the growth of the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector in the Chinese economy from 2002 to 2017 and concludes that it was mainly driven by export and domestic demand expansion. The ICT sector consistently externalized throughout the study period and had profound intersectoral linkages in the economy, making it a key engine of economic growth in China.
This study examines the key drivers of the information and communication technology (ICT) sector's growth and the dynamics of its sectoral relationships in the Chinese economy, about which little is known, by using four updated and harmonized input-output tables for the period 2002-2017. The decomposition analysis shows that the ICT sector's growth was mainly driven by the expansion of export and domestic demand in the 2002-2007 period and by domestic demand expansion in the 2007-2012 and 2012-2017 periods. Furthermore, causative matrix analysis demonstrates that the ICT sector was consistently externalized throughout the study period, regardless of whether it received limited feedback from non-ICT sectors' final demand in the 2002-2007 and 2012-2017 periods or substantial feedback in the 2007-2012 period. Finally, linkage analysis reveals that the ICT sector has had profound intersectoral linkages with both supply- and demand-side effects in the economy. We conclude that the ICT sector has been the engine of economic growth in China and that stimulating its growth is a key tool for economic development.

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