4.7 Article

The crowding out channel: Housing boom and investment in China

Journal

FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 43, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.101959

Keywords

Housing prices dynamics; Credit constraints; Crowding-out channel

Funding

  1. Humanity and Social Science Foundation of Ministry of Education of China [17JJD790009]

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The study reveals that a credit-driven housing boom in China leads to a crowding out effect on corporate investment, as constrained commercial banks tend to allocate more credit to the non-productive household sector.
We develop a novel mechanism that captures the negative co-movements between housing prices and investment in China by incorporating the crowding out channel into a NK-DSGE model. Through this channel, a credit-driven housing boom stimulates constrained commercial banks to allocate more credit to the unproductive household sector instead of entrepreneur sector, crowding out corporate investment.

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