Journal
HELIYON
Volume 7, Issue 11, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08249
Keywords
Drought; Trend; SPEI; Climatic zone; Bangladesh
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This study evaluates the drought trend in seven climatic zones of Bangladesh using Mann-Kendall trend test and SPEI, finding a decreasing trend in most zones and higher SPEI values in the northern region during certain periods. Recommendations include water resource management initiatives in drought-prone zones.
Evaluation of drought is essential and useful to eradicate climate change impact. Therefore, this study aims to explore the spatiotemporal drought intensity trend in seven climatic zones of Bangladesh during 1979-2019. Mann-Kendall trend test and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) are employed to identify drought trend and status, whereas spatial visualization is checked through Inverse Distance Weighting Interpo-lation. The study's findings emphasize the decreasing rate of SPEI in all climatic zones except the south-eastern zone, which is > 0.0065, >0.007, >0.0128, and >-0.0001 for SPEI 09 12, 24, and 06, respectively. Further-more, the northern region has the highest value in SPEI in some periods with the highest decrease rate in SPEI 06, SPEI 09, SPEI 12 demonstrates greater drought responsibilities. The Barisal (.>-3.75), Rangpur (>-3.65), Dinajpur ((>-3.00), Rajshahi (>-4.35), Bogra (>-4.50), Ishurdi (>-3.45), Faridpur (>-4.30) and Madaripur (>-2.10) found under extreme drought-prone climatic zone. Thus, the study recommends taking initiatives and management for water resources to adopt mitigation planning for drought-prone climatic zones.
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