Stochastic analysis of a SIRI epidemic model with double saturated rates and relapse

Infectious diseases have for centuries been the leading causes of death and disability worldwide and the environmental fluctuation is a crucial part of an ecosystem in the natural world. In this paper, we proposed and discussed a stochastic SIRI epidemic model incorporating double saturated incidence rates and relapse. The dynamical properties of the model were analyzed. The existence and uniqueness of a global positive solution were proven. Sufficient conditions were derived to guarantee the extinction and persistence in mean of the epidemic model. Additionally, ergodic stationary distribution of the stochastic SIRI model was discussed. Our results indicated that the intensity of relapse and stochastic perturbations greatly affected the dynamics of epidemic systems and if the random fluctuations were large enough, the disease could be accelerated to extinction while the stronger relapse rate were detrimental to the control of the disease.

Automated summary

An epidemic model incorporating double saturated incidence rates and relapse was proposed and analyzed in this paper. The intensity of relapse and stochastic perturbations greatly affected the dynamics of epidemic systems. Stronger relapse rates were detrimental to disease control.