Prognostic Value of Baseline Medications Plus Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in the Effectiveness of Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab in Patients With Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer: A Retrospective Study

BackgroundNivolumab and pembrolizumab are the standard treatments for patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). While there are reports on several inflammatory indices and the prognosis of patients with cancer, no study has combined baseline medication with the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict clinical outcomes. This study investigated the efficacy of baseline medications plus NLR to predict the effectiveness of nivolumab and pembrolizumab in a real-world clinical setting. MethodsWe conducted a single-center retrospective observational study of consecutive patients with advanced NSCLC who received nivolumab or pembrolizumab as first-line, second-line, or beyond treatment between December 2015 and November 2018 at the National Cancer Center Hospital in Japan. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The drug-based prognostic score for baseline medications plus NLR was weighed based on the regression beta coefficients. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between the prognostic score-stratified groups and survival outcomes. ResultsIn total, 259 patients were evaluated in this study. A prognostic score calculated from the baseline medications plus NLR was used to categorize the patients into good (score 0), intermediate (scores 1-2), and poor (scores 3-6) -prognosis groups. The multivariable Cox proportional hazard model revealed a significant association between the poor-prognosis group and reduced OS. The hazard ratio of OS was 1.75 (95% confidence interval: 1.07-2.99; P = 0.031). In contrast, no association between these prognosis groups and PFS was observed. ConclusionsThe findings suggest that the baseline medications with nivolumab or pembrolizumab plus NLR could lead to progressively shorter survival outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC and could be used as a prognostic index for poor outcomes. However, to ascertain the clinical application of these findings, these concomitant medications need further validation in a large-scale multicenter study.

Automated summary

The combination of baseline medications with nivolumab or pembrolizumab and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) may lead to shorter survival outcomes in patients with advanced NSCLC and serve as a prognostic index for poor outcomes. A significant association was found between the prognostic score and overall survival (OS) in 259 patients, but not with progression-free survival (PFS). Further validation in a large-scale multicenter study is needed to confirm these findings for clinical application.