4.8 Article

Scaling of mortality in 742 metropolitan areas of the Americas

Journal

SCIENCE ADVANCES
Volume 7, Issue 50, Pages -

Publisher

AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abl6325

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Funding

  1. Office of the Director of the NIH [DP5OD26429]
  2. Wellcome Trust initiative, Our Planet, Our Health [205177/Z/16/Z]

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The study found that there are significant differences in mortality rates with city population size, with more populated cities having lower mortality rates in the United States, while Latin American cities showed similar mortality rates across different city sizes. Additionally, sexually transmitted infections and homicides are more prevalent in larger cities, indicating superlinear scaling in these cases.
We explored how mortality scales with city population size using vital registration and population data from 742 cities in 10 Latin American countries and the United States. We found that more populated cities had lower mortality (sublinear scaling), driven by a sublinear pattern in U.S. cities, while Latin American cities had similar mortality across city sizes. Sexually transmitted infections and homicides showed higher rates in larger cities (superlinear scaling). Tuberculosis mortality behaved sublinearly in U.S. and Mexican cities and superlinearly in other Latin American cities. Other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional deaths, and deaths due to noncommunicable diseases were generally sublinear in the United States and linear or superlinear in Latin America. Our findings reveal distinct patterns across the Americas, suggesting no universal relation between city size and mortality, pointing to the importance of understanding the processes that explain heterogeneity in scaling behavior or mortality to further advance urban health policies.

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