4.6 Article

The extreme European summer of 2015 in a long-term perspective

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Volume 37, Issue 2, Pages 943-962

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4751

Keywords

heat; drought; climate indices; SPI; SPEI; mRAI; WBAI

Funding

  1. Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports of CR within National Sustainability Program I (NPU I) [LO1415]
  2. Czech Science Foundation [P209-11-0956]
  3. Mary-Hegeler post-doctoral scholarship of TU Bergakademie Freiberg

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In 2015, large parts of Europe were characterized by extraordinary high summer temperatures, accompanied by very dry conditions, particularly in central-eastern Europe. Several major heat episodes occurred from the end of June until mid-September. We provide an ad-hoc evaluation of the observed climatological extremes in a secular context, by using a set of long station time series in daily resolution. Our data set comprises 42 temperature and 43 precipitation records, predominantly starting already in the 19th century. To investigate local record values, the individual full record length is analysed for each station, while regionally averaged analyses are presented for the core study period of 1901-2015. The study area covers Europe's central latitudes (44 degrees to 52 degrees N), extending from England in the west up to the central Ukraine in the east. During summer 2015, various indices representing extremely high maximum and minimum temperatures (strongly) exceeded previous record high values, mainly in an area extending from eastern Germany to western Ukraine. Additionally, severely to extremely dry conditions with unusually frequent dry days were prevailing particularly in the (central-) eastern part of the study area. Drought indices combining temperature and precipitation revealed drought conditions comparable or even worse than those of former extreme summers like 2003.

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