Journal
SUSTAINABILITY
Volume 14, Issue 2, Pages -Publisher
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/su14020786
Keywords
integrated energy systems (IES); NaTech scenarios; climate change; Monte Carlo simulation; CVaR; system average interruption frequency index (SAIFI); annual failure probability (AFP); loss exceedance probability (LEP)
Funding
- MIUR-Italian Ministry for Scientific Research under the PRIN [2017CEYPS8]
Ask authors/readers for more resources
This paper proposes a novel framework for analyzing integrated energy systems (IESs) that are vulnerable to both stochastic failures and climate-induced failures. The framework allows for the analysis of different types of IESs and concludes that these systems are resilient to climate-induced failures.
This paper proposes a novel framework for the analysis of integrated energy systems (IESs) exposed to both stochastic failures and shock climate-induced failures, such as those characterizing NaTech accidental scenarios. With such a framework, standard centralized systems (CS), IES with distributed generation (IES-DG) and IES with bidirectional energy conversion (IES+P2G) enabled by power-to-gas (P2G) facilities can be analyzed. The framework embeds the model of each single production plant in an integrated power-flow model and then couples it with a stochastic failures model and a climate-induced failure model, which simulates the occurrence of extreme weather events (e.g., flooding) driven by climate change. To illustrate how to operationalize the analysis in practice, a case study of a realistic IES has been considered that comprises two combined cycle gas turbine plants (CCGT), a nuclear power plant (NPP), two wind farms (WF), a solar photovoltaicS (PV) field and a power-to-gas station (P2G). Results suggest that the IESs are resilient to climate-induced failures.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available