4.5 Article

Emerging Trends: SOTA-Chasing

Journal

NATURAL LANGUAGE ENGINEERING
Volume 28, Issue 2, Pages 249-269

Publisher

CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S1351324922000043

Keywords

State-of-the-art; Evaluation; Benchmarks; Leaderboards; Root causes; Leadership; Reviewing; Replication crisis

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Pursuing state-of-the-art (SOTA) numbers in research papers can have costs, such as missing out on more promising opportunities and potentially leading to unrealistic expectations. Lack of leadership and uncertain reviewing processes are identified as the root causes of SOTA-chasing. This phenomenon is compared to the replication crisis in scientific literature.
Many papers are chasing state-of-the-art (SOTA) numbers, and more will do so in the future. SOTA-chasing comes with many costs. SOTA-chasing squeezes out more promising opportunities such as coopetition and interdisciplinary collaboration. In addition, there is a risk that too much SOTA-chasing could lead to claims of superhuman performance, unrealistic expectations, and the next AI winter. Two root causes for SOTA-chasing will be discussed: (1) lack of leadership and (2) iffy reviewing processes. SOTA-chasing may be similar to the replication crisis in the scientific literature. The replication crisis is yet another example, like evaluation, of over-confidence in accepted practices and the scientific method, even when such practices lead to absurd consequences.

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