4.5 Article

Conditional or unconditional logistic regression for frequency matched case-control design?

Journal

STATISTICS IN MEDICINE
Volume 41, Issue 6, Pages 1023-1041

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/sim.9313

Keywords

bias; case-control design; conditional logistic regression; frequency matching; unconditional logistic regression

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It has been found that correctly specified unconditional logistic regression is more efficient than conditional logistic regression in frequency matched designs, especially when continuous matching factors are used. Conditional logistic regression is a more practical approach as it is less dependent on modeling choices.
Frequency matching is commonly used in epidemiological case control studies to balance the distributions of the matching factors between the case and control groups and to improve the efficiency of case-control designs. Applied researchers have held a common opinion that unconditional logistic regression should be used to analyze frequency matched designs and conditional logistic regression is unnecessary. However, the justification of this view is unclear. To compare the performances of ULR and CLR in terms of simplicity, unbiasedness, and efficiency in a more intuitive way, we viewed frequency matching from the perspective of weighted sampling and derived the outcome models describing how the exposure and matching factors are associated with the outcome in the matched data separately in two scenarios: (1) only categorical variables are used for matching; (2) continuous variables are categorized for matching. In either scenario the derived outcome model is a logit model with stratum-specific intercepts. Correctly specified unconditional logistic regression can be more efficient than conditional logistic regression, particularly when continuous matching factors are used, whereas conditional logistic regression is a more practical approach because it is less dependent on modeling choices.

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