4.4 Article

How do biases in sex ratio and disease characteristics affect the spread of sexually transmitted infections?

Journal

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY
Volume 527, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ACADEMIC PRESS LTD- ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110832

Keywords

Sexual transmission; Disease prevalence; STI; Mating dynamics

Funding

  1. Chinese Scholarship Council
  2. National Research, Development and Innovation Office of Hungary [ELVONAL KKP-126949, K-116310]
  3. University of Bath
  4. Royal Society Wolfson Merit Award [WM170050]
  5. Leverhulme Trust [RF/2/RFG/2005/0279, ID200660763]
  6. Natural Environment Research Council [NE/N014979/1]
  7. APEX [APX\R1 \191045]
  8. NERC [NE/N014979/1] Funding Source: UKRI

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The epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) is closely linked to host mating dynamics, with adult sex ratios often skewed towards males or females. Disease characteristics, gender, and sex ratio have complex interactions affecting STI prevalence, with higher transmission rates and lower virulence generally increasing differences between males and females. Our study provides insights into how STI prevalence in males and females depends on the complex interaction between host population sex ratio and disease characteristics.
The epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) is inherently linked to host mating dynamics. Studies across many taxa show that adult sex ratio, a major determinant of host mating dynamics, is often skewed - sometimes strongly - toward males or females. However, few predictions exist for the effects of skewed sex ratio on STI epidemiology, and none when coupled with sex biased disease characteristics. Here we use mathematical modelling to examine how interactions between sex ratio and disease characteristics affect STI prevalence in males and females. Notably, we find that while overall disease prevalence peaks at equal sex ratios, prevalence per sex peaks at skewed sex ratios. Furthermore, disease characteristics, sex-biased or not, drive predictable differences in male and female STI prevalence as sex ratio varies, with higher transmission and lower virulence generally increasing differences between the sexes for a given sex ratio. Our work reveals new insights into how STI prevalence in males and females depends on a complex interaction between host population sex ratio and disease characteristics. (C) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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