Related references
Note: Only part of the references are listed.Soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks mitigate declining water availability in drylands
Sha Zhou et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2021)
No projected global drylands expansion under greenhouse warming
Alexis Berg et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2021)
Global exposure of population and land-use to meteorological droughts under different Warming Levels and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways: A Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment-based study
Jonathan Spinoni et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2021)
Deforestation in protect areas in the Amazon: a threat to biodiversity
Paula Fernanda Pinheiro Ribeiro Paiva et al.
BIODIVERSITY AND CONSERVATION (2020)
Which practices co-deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification?
Pete Smith et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2020)
Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data
Jonathan Spinoni et al.
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2020)
Global desertification vulnerability to climate change and human activities
Jianping Huang et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2020)
A tale of two futures: contrasting scenarios of future precipitation for West Africa from an ensemble of regional climate models
Alessandro Dosio et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)
Accelerated dryland expansion regulates future variability in dryland gross primary production
Jingyu Yao et al.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2020)
Increased control of vegetation on global terrestrial energy fluxes
Giovanni Forzieri et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020)
Doubling of US Population Exposure to Climate Extremes by 2050
Fulden Batibeniz et al.
EARTHS FUTURE (2020)
Version 4 of the CRU TS monthly high-resolution gridded multivariate climate dataset
Ian Harris et al.
SCIENTIFIC DATA (2020)
Recent trends in gross primary production and their drivers: analysis and modelling at flux-site and global scales
Wenjia Cai et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)
Emergence of significant soil moisture depletion in the near future
Jaewon Joo et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)
Characteristics, drivers and feedbacks of global greening
Shilong Piao et al.
NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT (2020)
Constraining Uncertainty in Projected Gross Primary Production With Machine Learning
Manuel Schlund et al.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES (2020)
Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850-2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6
George C. Hurtt et al.
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2020)
Global rules for translating land-use change (LUH2) to land-cover change for CMIP6 using GLM2
Lei Ma et al.
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2020)
Solving Brazil's land use puzzle: Increasing production and slowing Amazon deforestation
Marcelo C. C. Stabile et al.
LAND USE POLICY (2020)
Multiscale precipitation variability over South America: Analysis of the added value of CORDEX RCM simulations
Silvina A. Solman et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Dryland changes under different levels of global warming
Aristeidis G. Koutroulis
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2019)
An Overview of Global Leaf Area Index (LAI): Methods, Products, Validation, and Applications
Hongliang Fang et al.
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS (2019)
What can we know about future precipitation in Africa? Robustness, significance and added value of projections from a large ensemble of regional climate models
Alessandro Dosio et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)
Largely underestimated carbon emission from land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States
Zhen Yu et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2019)
Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity
Florian Zabel et al.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2019)
Multimodel Analysis of Future Land Use and Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Functioning
A. Krause et al.
EARTHS FUTURE (2019)
Aridity change and its correlation with greening over drylands
Bin He et al.
AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2019)
The aridity Index under global warming
P. Greve et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)
The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models
Flavio Lehner et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2019)
Hydrologic implications of vegetation response to elevated CO2 in climate projections
Yuting Yang et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2019)
Future Changes in the Aridity of South America from Regional Climate Model Projections
Julio P. R. Fernandez et al.
PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS (2019)
Evaluation of simulated decadal variations over the Euro-Mediterranean region from ENSEMBLES to Med-CORDEX
Alessandro Dell'Aquila et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2018)
Simulated differences in 21st century aridity due to different scenarios of greenhouse gases and aerosols
L. Lin et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2018)
Assessment of projected climate change in the Carpathian Region using the Holdridge life zone system
Zoltan Szelepcsenyi et al.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2018)
Bias patterns and climate change signals in GCM-RCM model chains
Silje Lund Sorland et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2018)
Land in balance: The scientific conceptual framework for Land Degradation Neutrality
Annette L. Cowie et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY (2018)
Will Half a Degree Make a Difference? Robust Projections of Indices of Mean and Extreme Climate in Europe Under 1.5 degrees C, 2 degrees C, and 3 degrees C Global Warming
Alessandro Dosio et al.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2018)
Present and future Koppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution
Hylke E. Beck et al.
SCIENTIFIC DATA (2018)
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections
Peter Alexander et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2017)
Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming
Alexis Berg et al.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2017)
SSP3: AIM implementation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Shinichiro Fujimori et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100
K. C. Samir et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The SSP4: A world of deepening inequality
Katherine Calvin et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The roads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century
Brian C. O'Neill et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2: A middle-of-the-road scenario for the 21st century
Oliver Fricko et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5): An energy and resource intensive scenario for the 21st century
Elmar Kriegler et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
Alexander Popp et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview
Keywan Riahi et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2017)
The climate of the European Alps: Shift of very high resolution Koppen-Geiger climate zones 1800-2100
Franz Rubel et al.
METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT (2017)
Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production
J. E. Campbell et al.
NATURE (2017)
Uncertainties of soil moisture in historical simulations and future projections
Shanjun Cheng et al.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2017)
An ensemble of spatially explicit land-cover model projections: prospects and challenges to retrospectively evaluate deforestation policy
Andrew V. Bradley et al.
MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2017)
ESTIMATING CHANGES IN GLOBAL TEMPERATURE SINCE THE PREINDUSTRIAL PERIOD
Ed Hawkins et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)
Changes in Mean and Extreme Temperature and Precipitation over the Arid Region of Northwestern China: Observation and Projection
Yujie Wang et al.
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2017)
DO CONVECTION-PERMITTING REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS IMPROVE PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE PRECIPITATION CHANGE?
Elizabeth J. Kendon et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)
Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century
Mouhamadou Bamba Sylla et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2016)
Defining Holdridge's life zones over Turkey
Hasan Tatli et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2016)
Decreasing US aridity in a warming climate
J. M. Finkel et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2016)
Searching for resilience: addressing the impacts of changing disturbance regimes on forest ecosystem services
Rupert Seidl et al.
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2016)
Spatial distribution and comparison of aridity indices in Extremadura, southwestern Spain
Francisco J. Moral et al.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2016)
Spatiotemporal trends in mean temperatures and aridity index over Rwanda
I. Muhire et al.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2016)
Shifts in Koppen-Geiger climate zones over southern Africa in relation to key global temperature goals
Christien J. Engelbrecht et al.
THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2016)
Projected Shifts in Koppen Climate Zones over China and Their Temporal Evolution in CMIP5 Multi-Model Simulations
Duo Chan et al.
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2016)
Hotspots of uncertainty in land-use and land-cover change projections: a global-scale model comparison
Reinhard Prestele et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2016)
Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C
Joeri Rogelj et al.
NATURE (2016)
Land-atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming
Alexis Berg et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)
Greening of the Earth and its drivers
Zaichun Zhu et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)
Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying
P. C. D. Milly et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2016)
Changes in terrestrial aridity for the period 850-2080 from the Community Earth System Model
Qiang Fu et al.
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2016)
Projections of leaf area index in earth system models
Natalie Mahowald et al.
EARTH SYSTEM DYNAMICS (2016)
Assessing trends in climate aridity and vulnerability to soil degradation in Italy
Andrea Colantoni et al.
ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS (2015)
Desertification, land use, and the transformation of global drylands
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer et al.
FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2015)
Assessment of future changes in water availability and aridity
P. Greve et al.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2015)
Operationalizing Zero Net Land Degradation: The next stage in international efforts to combat desertification?
Pamela Chasek et al.
JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS (2015)
Assessment of global aridity change
Mohammad Amin Asadi Zarch et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2015)
Overlap of global Koppen-Geiger climates, biomes, and soil orders
Robert V. Rohli et al.
PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY (2015)
Spatiotemporal patterns of terrestrial gross primary production: A review
Alessandro Anav et al.
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS (2015)
On the assessment of aridity with changes in atmospheric CO2
Michael L. Roderick et al.
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2015)
Global land moisture trends: drier in dry and wetter in wet over land
Huihui Feng et al.
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2015)
AFRICLIM: high-resolution climate projections for ecological applications in Africa
Philip J. Platts et al.
AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY (2015)
Regional differences in aridity/drought conditions over Northeast Brazil: present state and future projections
Jose A. Marengo et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2015)
Towards identifying areas at climatological risk of desertification using the Koppen-Geiger classification and FAO aridity index
Jonathan Spinoni et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2015)
Global warming and 21st century drying
Benjamin I. Cook et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2014)
Climate classification revisited: from Koppen to Trewartha
Michal Belda et al.
CLIMATE RESEARCH (2014)
A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
Brian C. O'Neill et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2014)
GLOBAL DRIVERS SETTING DESERTIFICATION RESEARCH PRIORITIES: INSIGHTS FROM A STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION FORUM
Alexander Bisaro et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2014)
LAND MANAGEMENT AND POLICY RESPONSES TO MITIGATE DESERTIFICATION AND LAND DEGRADATION
Luuk Fleskens et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2014)
Global assessment of trends in wetting and drying over land
Peter Greve et al.
NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2014)
Rain-Use-Efficiency: What it Tells us about the Conflicting Sahel Greening and Sahelian Paradox
Cecile Dardel et al.
REMOTE SENSING (2014)
Sand Waves and Human Tides: Exploring Environmental Myths on Desertification and Climate-Induced Migration
Giovanni Bettini et al.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT & DEVELOPMENT (2014)
Global desertification: Drivers and feedbacks
Paolo D'Odorico et al.
ADVANCES IN WATER RESOURCES (2013)
Projections of climate change impacts on potential C4 crop productivity over tropical regions
A. Berg et al.
AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2013)
Deforestation and precipitation patterns in the arid Chaco forests of central Argentina
L. E. Hoyos et al.
APPLIED VEGETATION SCIENCE (2013)
Reanalysis-driven climate simulation over CORDEX North America domain using the Canadian Regional Climate Model, version 5: model performance evaluation
A. Martynov et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2013)
Rapid warming accelerates tree growth decline in semi-arid forests of Inner Asia
Hongyan Liu et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2013)
Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models for their response to climate variability and to CO2 trends
Shilong Piao et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2013)
Climate change and broadacre livestock production across southern Australia. 1. Impacts of climate change on pasture and livestock productivity, and on sustainable levels of profitability
Andrew D. Moore et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2013)
Temporal pattern of aridity index in Iran with considering precipitation and evapotranspiration trends
Hossein Tabari et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2013)
Effect of climate change on reference evapotranspiration and aridity index in arid region of China
Zailin Huo et al.
JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY (2013)
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT FOR LAND DEGRADATION MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT: AN ANALYSIS OF CONTEMPORARY THINKING
M. S. Reed et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2013)
Koppen's climate classification map for Brazil
Clayton Alcarde Alvares et al.
METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT (2013)
Adaptation to climate change: changes in farmland use and stocking rate in the US
Jianhong E. Mu et al.
MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE (2013)
Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections
Reto Knutti et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2013)
Combating desertification in China: Past, present and future
Feng Wang et al.
LAND USE POLICY (2013)
AN OVERVIEW OF CMIP5 AND THE EXPERIMENT DESIGN
Karl E. Taylor et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2012)
Development of regional future climate change scenarios in South America using the Eta CPTEC/HadCM3 climate change projections: climatology and regional analyses for the Amazon, So Francisco and the Parana River basins
Jose A. Marengo et al.
CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2012)
Climate change hotspots in the CMIP5 global climate model ensemble
Noah S. Diffenbaugh et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2012)
Improving crop production in the arid Mediterranean climate
S. -E. Jacobsen et al.
FIELD CROPS RESEARCH (2012)
Greenness in semi-arid areas across the globe 1981-2007 - an Earth Observing Satellite based analysis of trends and drivers
Rasmus Fensholt et al.
REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2012)
Emerging migration flows in a changing climate in dryland Africa
Dominic R. Kniveton et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2012)
Changes in Koppen-Geiger climate types under a future climate for Australia: hydrological implications
R. S. Crosbie et al.
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES (2012)
REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS ADD VALUE TO GLOBAL MODEL DATA A Review and Selected Examples
Frauke Feser et al.
BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2011)
RCP4.5: a pathway for stabilization of radiative forcing by 2100
Allison M. Thomson et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2011)
The representative concentration pathways: an overview
Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2011)
RCP 8.5-A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions
Keywan Riahi et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2011)
MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT OF LAND DEGRADATION AND DESERTIFICATION: TOWARDS NEW CONCEPTUAL AND INTEGRATED APPROACHES
J. V. Vogt et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2011)
Climate change and Australia: key vulnerable regions
Lesley Hughes
REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE (2011)
Use of multi-model ensembles from global climate models for assessment of climate change impacts
Mikhail A. Semenov et al.
CLIMATE RESEARCH (2010)
Effects of Amazon and Central Brazil deforestation scenarios on the duration of the dry season in the arc of deforestation
Marcos Heil Costa et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2010)
Observed and projected climate shifts 1901-2100 depicted by world maps of the Koppen-Geiger climate classification
Franz Rubel et al.
METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT (2010)
GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURE CHANGE
J. Hansen et al.
REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS (2010)
State-of-the-art with regional climate models
Markku Rummukainen
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE (2010)
Climatic trends in Israel 1970-2002: warmer and increasing aridity inland
Hemu Kharel Kafle et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2009)
Climate and desertification: looking at an old problem through new lenses
Michel M. Verstraete et al.
FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2009)
Climate and environmental change in arid Central Asia: Impacts, vulnerability, and adaptations
E. Lioubimtseva et al.
JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS (2009)
DESERTS AND DESERTIFICATION: CHALLENGES BUT ALSO OPPORTUNITIES
Uriel Safriel
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2009)
APPRAISING AND SELECTING CONSERVATION MEASURES TO MITIGATE DESERTIFICATION AND LAND DEGRADATION BASED ON STAKEHOLDER PARTICIPATION AND GLOBAL BEST PRACTICES
G. Schwilch et al.
LAND DEGRADATION & DEVELOPMENT (2009)
Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C
Malte Meinshausen et al.
NATURE (2009)
Increased aridity in the Mediterranean region under greenhouse gas forcing estimated from high resolution simulations with a regional climate model
Xuejie Gao et al.
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE (2008)
A climate model-based review of drought in the Sahel: Desertification, the re-greening and climate change
Alessandra Giannini et al.
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE (2008)
Exploring spatial data uncertainties in land-use change scenarios
N. Dendoncker et al.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE (2008)
Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics
Robert K. Colwell et al.
SCIENCE (2008)
Poverty and environmental stress fuel Darfur crisis
Jeffrey D. Sachs
NATURE (2007)
Views from the vulnerable: Understanding climatic and other stressors in the Sahel
Petra Tschakert
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2007)
Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America
Richard Seager et al.
SCIENCE (2007)
Global desertification:: Building a science for dryland development
James F. Reynolds et al.
SCIENCE (2007)
Interactions between climate and desertification
M. V. K. Sivakumar
AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2007)
Updated world map of the Koppen-Geiger climate classification
M. C. Peel et al.
HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES (2007)
The future of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon
KR Kirby et al.
FUTURES (2006)
Desertification in the Sahel: a reinterpretation
L Hein et al.
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2006)
World map of the Koppen-Geiger climate classification updated
Markus Kottek et al.
METEOROLOGISCHE ZEITSCHRIFT (2006)
Aridity/humidity status of land surface in China during the last three decades
SH Wu et al.
SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES D-EARTH SCIENCES (2005)
Impacts of present and future climate variability and change on agriculture and forestry in the arid and semi-arid tropics
MVK Sivakumar et al.
CLIMATIC CHANGE (2005)
Running to stand still: adaptation and the response of plants to rapid climate change
AS Jump et al.
ECOLOGY LETTERS (2005)
Agronomic options for improving rainfall-use efficiency of crops in dryland farming systems
NC Turner
JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL BOTANY (2004)
The possible response of life zones in China under global climate change
XW Chen et al.
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE (2003)
Land degradation in the drylands
HE Dregne
ARID LAND RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT (2002)
Diversity of vegetation patterns and desertification
J von Hardenberg et al.
PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS (2001)