Journal
IEEE SYSTEMS JOURNAL
Volume 10, Issue 2, Pages 385-396Publisher
IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC
DOI: 10.1109/JSYST.2014.2361157
Keywords
Decision analysis; national infrastructure (NI) system; robust control; system performance
Categories
Funding
- U.K. Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council as part of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium [EP/I01344X/1]
- EPSRC [EP/I01344X/1, EP/I01344X/2] Funding Source: UKRI
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/I01344X/1, EP/I01344X/2] Funding Source: researchfish
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National infrastructure (NI) systems (i.e., energy, transport, water, waste, and information and communications technology) provide essential services to the economy and contribute to human well-being. These systems have evolved over centuries, being planned and implemented piecewise, and are mostly managed in isolation from one another. Here, we argue that the growing interconnection between these systems and the convergent challenges ahead (i.e.,demographic, technological, and climate change) call for an integrated system-of-systems approach to managing NI. Toward that end, we propose a modeling framework for the long-term (to 2100) simulation of NI system performance in a highly uncertain future. The approach is based on the assessment of the performance of infrastructure services in a wide range of possible future conditions. This robust optimization is used to identify cross-sectoral strategies that ensure satisfactory infrastructure performance. We demonstrate the framework using Great Britain's NI as an example.
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